Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 1/12/17)

Please note: Rankings include figures that are complete for each quarter

1. = W Barker 30 (46)
2. Sean Wong 33 (304)
3. Dilip Shah 35 (86)
4. michael kenney 35 (136)
5. Rebecca Harding 35 (304)
6. Andrew Stebles 35 (1404)
7. Laurie Patten 36 (96)
8= Andrew Corner 36 (104)
8= Ravi Karia 36 (104)
10. Aimee Allam 36 (151)
11. David Robertson 36 (154)
12. Aaron Mathews 37 (126)
13. Toby Okoli 37 (304)
14. Maxamillian John 37 (479)
15. Gabriel Howse 38 (14)
16. Isabel Roszkowski 38 (86)
17. Ross Hay 38 (154)
18. Richard Hawkins 38 (249)
19. Virinchi Velchuru 38 (399)
20. Matthew Elson 39 (34)
21. Ali Hijazi 39 (54)
22. Miranda Ackerman 39 (186)
23. Simon Danielli 39 (204)
24. Omar Maimouni 39 (264)
25. Abbas Adejonwo 39 (354)
26. Steve Douglas 39 (399)
27. Robin Henry 39 (404)
28. Dan Tomlinson 39 (542)
29. Steven Websdale 40 (264)
30. Destiny Duke 40 (360)
31. Graham van Terheyden 40 (454)
32. George Flynn 40 (704)
33. Sandy Taylor 41 (4)
34. Pamela Barker 41 (54)
35. Joseph Kane 41 (69)
36. Sarah Martin 41 (145)
37= Daniel Greenwood 41 (154)
37= MIKE WHEELER 41 (154)
39. Karen Lucas 41 (249)
40. Jack S Devlin 41 (304)
41. Rob Gill 42 (14)
42. Tim Coleman 42 (21)
43. Tabitha Owen 42 (144)
44= Tilly Parke 42 (154)
44= Tom Flynn 42 (154)
46. Jonas Zygas 42 (204)
47. Cameron Davidson 42 (457)
48. Paul Harrison 42 (639)
49. Andy 43 (36)
50. Sean Holly 43 (96)
51. Richard Winton 43 (104)
52. William Barker 43 (146)
53. Michael Baxter 43 (154)
54. Richard Oirschot 43 (304)
55. Karnan Sembian 43 (417)
56. Lora Botelho 44 (11)
57. Tim Goldfinch 44 (29)
58. Ian Lewis 44 (445)
59. Ned Angier 44 (510)
60. Marco Yu 44 (634)
61. Greg Opie 45 (41)
62. James Gordon 45 (69)
63. Amal Cian Agastin 45 (167)
64. Sanjeev Menon 45 (179)
65. Adam potter 45 (214)
66. Christina Napier 45 (259)
67. Freddie 45 (262)
68. Alexnader Galouzis 45 (264)
69. Sally Cantero 45 (511)
70. Tim 45 (655)
71. James Gildea 46 (54)
72. Thomas Markovitch 46 (75)
73. Matt Newton 46 (254)
74. Aoife Lowe-Davies 46 (304)
75. Zhoufei Shi 46 (334)
76. Andrew Cranmer 46 (404)
77. Natashya Lalani 46 (413)
78. Dominic Teeling 46 (449)
79. Serene 46 (504)
80= Neal Judd 47 (4)
80= Roy Simpson 47 (4)
82. Andrew Goodwin 47 (54)
83. Adam Chong 47 (114)
84. Louis Foster 47 (204)
85. Alex Ralphs 47 (262)
86. Owen Sy 47 (279)
87. Sam Akpan 47 (324)
88. Saul Drury 47 (336)
89. Conrad Jordan 47 (1436)
90. Shabbir Merali 48 (19)
91. Peter Phillips 48 (41)
92. Andrew Jagger 48 (54)
93. David Cropper 48 (136)
94. Chris Gardner 48 (149)
95. Andrew Purves 48 (254)
96. Nathan 48 (404)
97. Sonya Swiderski 48 (671)
98. David Garforth-Bles 49 (39)
99. Master Yoda 49 (98)
100. Alistow Blake 49 (144)
101. Charlie Colborn 49 (155)
102. Brett Adessi 49 (197)
103. Christina Musson 49 (281)
104= Cedric Ware 49 (336)
104= Miles Woods 49 (336)
106. Maria Jansing 49 (436)
107. Mike Agate 50 (34)
108. Hannah 50 (104)
109. John Davison 50 (129)
110= Jimmy Nipps 50 (304)
110= Mark 50 (304)
112. Lucy Derrickson 50 (436)
113= Dan King 51 (101)
113= Michelle Pesce 51 (101)
115= Bianca Todorut 51 (149)
115= Nicola Sawford 51 (149)
117. Jon Exley 51 (154)
118. Leighton Hughes 51 (178)
119. Helen Antonis 51 (246)
120. Coln Duxberry 51 (279)
121. Ruben Bo Dower 51 (329)
122. Peter Vaughan 51 (422)
123. Holly Parish 51 (449)
124. Edward Cubitt 52 (23)
125. Gavin Jones 52 (104)
126. Andy Smith 52 (200)
127. Sam McDonald 52 (214)
128= Daniel Knight 52 (254)
128= Yi Lian Lee 52 (254)
130. Samina Pandor 52 (334)
131. Manuel J Porras 52 (554)
132. = LSE (Vicky Pryce) 52 (604)
133= Ian Andrews 53 (104)
133= Piers Harmer 53 (104)
135. = Anthony Glaser 53 (122)
136. Shrina Parekh 53 (254)
137. Kristopher Cawood 53 (456)
138. Julian Barker 54 (71)
139. Samuel Ennis 54 (74)
140. James Elkington 54 (107)
141. Andrew Lorne 54 (162)
142. Michael Akerman 54 (286)
143. Oliver Moore 54 (336)
144. Ross Dexter 55 (4)
145. Grant Fitzner 55 (34)
146. Cory Whitman 55 (36)
147. Francis Fennelly 55 (46)
148. Georgia graham 55 (54)
149. Jonathan Croud 55 (69)
150. Adam Harmon 55 (70)
151. Andrew Sentance 55 (71)
152. Thomas Randell 55 (107)
153. Glen Morris 55 (114)
154. Sam Gagliardi 55 (136)
155. Bruce McRobie 55 (304)
156. Zayn Riaz 55 (327)
157. = Zac Gross 55 (504)
158. Jonathan Gusson 55 (717)
159. James MoncurBrown 56 (6)
160. Dom Huber 56 (61)
161. Nathan Woolley 56 (96)
162. Pete Comley 56 (149)
163. Anton Gospodinov 56 (154)
164. Emile Galatti 56 (161)
165. Ross Bogert 56 (171)
166. Samuel Gold 56 (254)
167. Archita Tayal 56 (279)
168. Alex De Gelas 56 (339)
169. Jonathan Furness 57 (38)
170. Tom White 57 (46)
171. Sophie Alders 57 (64)
172. Justin Farrington Smith 57 (79)
173. Albert Ferrant 57 (104)
174. Bogdan Polovinko 57 (106)
175. Ronaldo Nazaré 57 (154)
176. Ruben 57 (204)
177. CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 57 (254)
178. Colette Roux 57 (290)
179. Rory Reed 57 (294)
180. Christina Wilkes 57 (311)
181. Claudia Gross 57 (336)
182. Graeme Burton 57 (504)
183. Glyn Manton 57 (579)
184. Hamzat Ken Isah 57 (685)
185. Michael Fay 58 (13)
186. Chris Todd-Davies 58 (19)
187. Kurtis Henry 58 (86)
188= Mark Hutt 58 (204)
188= Stephen Keating 58 (204)
190. Theo Banner 58 (246)
191. Daniele Viappiani 58 (279)
192. Cassie McNab 58 (286)
193. Edesiri Akati-udi 58 (514)
194. Cassandra Oakes 58 (572)
195. George Squibbs 59 (21)
196. Peter Prior-Mills 59 (61)
197. David Morgan 59 (106)
198. Adrian Reuter 59 (172)
199. Kevin van der Beek 59 (176)
200. Annika 59 (241)
201. Jamele McIntosh 59 (254)
202. Robbie Griffith 59 (273)
203. Donna Trump 59 (379)
204. d spencer 59 (1179)
205. Gary Slater 60 (16)
206. Cristen Wegener 60 (106)
207. William McKenzie 60 (138)
208. Tony Campbell 60 (154)
209. Renedi 60 (217)
210. Jeremy Vincent 60 (354)
211. David Field 61 (4)
212. Stacia Borislavov 61 (36)
213= Gerry Mark 61 (39)
213= Nicholas Thorn 61 (39)
215. Hector Calvo 61 (46)
216. Tim Goldfinch 61 (54)
217. Lukas Lastas 61 (77)
218. Alex Bottomley 61 (111)
219. Alan Davies 61 (115)
220. Thomas Conley 61 (181)
221. Glen Mehn 61 (504)
222. Hamzat Ken Isah 61 (684)
223. Marcus Chambers 62 (36)
224. Deirdre Flynn 62 (51)
225. Edgar Chemla 62 (54)
226. Roman Cosentino 62 (64)
227. = Emily Cutler 62 (104)
228. Nick Cattermole 62 (204)
229. Bruce Hagwood 62 (222)
230. Henry Forder 62 (254)
231. Anita Hummel 62 (352)
232. Ben Eyre-White 63 (38)
233. David Dike 63 (58)
234. Ezekiel Quartey 63 (78)
235. Liam mackle 63 (104)
236. Pauline Travers 63 (136)
237. Sarah Kemsley 63 (154)
238. Stuart Cockburn 63 (204)
239. Oscar Binny 63 (218)
240. Karen Cross 63 (236)
241. Eman 63 (389)
242. Hannelore Elsden 63 (554)
243. Marc Brennan 63 (1147)
244. Mette Lehrmann 64 (311)
245. Hamzat Ken Isah 64 (684)
246. Emma Rose 65 (45)
247. Polovinko Bogdan 65 (61)
248. Dan Britton 65 (83)
249. Lina Lukoseviciute 65 (136)
250. Lingling (Kelly) Chang 65 (137)
251. Nick Cartwright 65 (304)
252. Joyce Tao 65 (312)
253. Helen Maas 66 (4)
254. John Quinn 66 (24)
255. Sebastian Turner 66 (46)
256. = Alexander Silver 66 (96)
257. Jack Fosten 66 (129)
258. Matthew Woolmore 66 (134)
259. Oscar Matthews-Wright 66 (244)
260. Angela Pearce 66 (297)
261. Max Verhoeven 67 (11)
262. Andy Silvester 67 (36)
263. Sam Gurbutt 67 (79)
264. Pooria Beigi 67 (104)
265. Naren Dutta 67 (109)
266. George Hall 67 (173)
267. Anna-Rose King 67 (204)
268. Jamie Murray-Jones 68 (36)
269. James Sarson 68 (46)
270. David Tan 68 (54)
271. Dan James 68 (59)
272. Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 68 (137)
273. Jack Dunkelberg 68 (146)
274. Lochan Korpal 68 (149)
275. David Potter 68 (154)
276. Seb Hancock 68 (181)
277. Michelle Munyi 68 (304)
278. James Watson 69 (36)
279. Nigel Hauck 69 (74)
280. Frank 69 (79)
281. John Ryan 69 (106)
282. Georgia Crawford Dellar 69 (110)
283. Abhai Rajguru 69 (129)
284. Antonia Dineen 69 (149)
285. Warren Quinn 69 (153)
286= Howard Mighell 69 (154)
286= Michael Tattersall 69 (154)
288. Emiliano Russo 69 (229)
289. Amy Popiolek 69 (298)
290. Louis Parrent 69 (716)
291. Roy Lonergan 70 (45)
292. Simon de Baat 70 (104)
293. Helen Mossman 71 (86)
294. Tom Dobson 71 (136)
295. Mike Wallach 71 (181)
296. Saatvik Bansal 71 (204)
297. Saul Dawes 71 (221)
298. Laura Meissner 71 (261)
299. Robell Astaw 71 (354)
300. Mandeeq 71 (379)
301. = Ben Watson 72 (2)
302. Tom Hobohm 72 (39)
303. Zaeem Bhanji 72 (54)
304= Al Marshall 72 (104)
304= Karim Q 72 (104)
306. Lindsay Jenkins 72 (111)
307. Robert Sharman 72 (126)
308. Ed Blois-Brooke 72 (135)
309. John Hodgson 72 (184)
310. Eman Dickens 72 (188)
311. John Hearn 72 (235)
312. Ken Rice 72 (636)
313. Sam Miller 73 (46)
314. John Mackintosh 73 (54)
315. Alex Thwaite 73 (128)
316= Fraser Smith 73 (146)
316= Rob Daniel 73 (146)
318. Andrea Sinnott 73 (172)
319. Alan Coleman 73 (222)
320. Anna McKenna 73 (322)
321. Benjamin Watson 74 (2)
322. Jeremy Beckwith 74 (16)
323. Gerard Tyler 74 (33)
324. Tom Severino 74 (336)
325. Fin Collings 74 (604)
326. Lorna Epperson 74 (716)
327. = Nina Kramer 75 (29)
328. Christine 75 (34)
329. Nick Rakowski 75 (52)
330. Giacomo Cattoretti 75 (56)
331. James Young 75 (84)
332. Michael Mainelli 75 (284)
333. Gary 76 (39)
334= Bertie Hazell 76 (56)
334= Steven Engberg 76 (56)
336. simon purvis 76 (129)
337. Christopher Tenezaca 76 (354)
338. Dom Cullum 77 (4)
339. Thomas Harper 77 (66)
340. Eden Hamilton 77 (254)
341. Meredith 77 (395)
342. Heino Vockrodt 78 (19)
343. Jack Ellis 78 (96)
344. Oxford (Paul Omerod) 78 (179)
345. eleanor verrier 78 (183)
346. Oskar Vaidya 78 (304)
347. James England 79 (36)
348. Krasimir Dinev 79 (41)
349= Michael 79 (104)
349= Stephen Clarke 79 (104)
351. Miles Novotny 79 (154)
352. = Liam Jolliff 79 (264)
353. Teresa McCracken 79 (286)
354. Luke Corning 79 (316)
355. John Koshy 79 (329)
356. Karthik Puravankara 79 (554)
357. David LT 80 (54)
358. Tom Noakes 80 (71)
359. Emil Marlowe 80 (203)
360. Zach Gillam 80 (475)
361. Gavin 81 (159)
362. Daniel Hodson 81 (186)
363. Terence Cooper 81 (330)
364. Mark Hughes 82 (29)
365. Will Bristol 82 (36)
366. Douglas March 82 (46)
367. simon opie 82 (50)
368. Adam Cooper 82 (129)
369. = Ben Ward 82 (202)
370. Teja von Holzschueher 82 (354)
371. Andrew Simon Conway 82 (379)
372. Eddie Hoghton 82 (453)
373. Patrick Totty 82 (454)
374. Neil Scott 82 (790)
375. Giacomo Donati Clarke 83 (40)
376. David Rios 83 (84)
377. = Carl Fisher 83 (102)
378. Patrick Abbey 83 (104)
379. Rob Clifford 83 (127)
380. Brett Schneider 83 (172)
381. Martin Ward 83 (254)
382. Matthew Davies 84 (54)
383. Eli Janowski 84 (136)
384. = Jon Beckett 84 (191)
385. Catrin Murphy 85 (42)
386. Robert Mann 85 (98)
387. Lucy Kyger 85 (136)
388. Lindsay McKinley 85 (161)
389. Tom Chatfield 85 (180)
390. Andrew Somerville 85 (204)
391. Caroline Reuben 85 (282)
392. Jack Keucker 85 (554)
393. Aaron Finlayson 86 (4)
394. Jacob Sorenson 86 (88)
395. Richard Starkey 86 (104)
396. Colin 86 (145)
397. Timothy Yandle 87 (19)
398. Nhung Doan 87 (30)
399. Matt Stevensonn 87 (54)
400. Charles MacMillan 87 (255)
401. Faye Jones 87 (533)
402. Jane Jones 87 (613)
403. Aidan Paul 88 (4)
404. Joseph Runchman 88 (79)
405. Eric Cullen 88 (86)
406. Ben Turpin 88 (111)
407. James Hewett 88 (137)
408. Oliver Bond 88 (354)
409. R Louis 89 (136)
410. Jon Moulton 90 (346)
411. James Villano 90 (485)
412. Allison Jepson 91 (272)
413. Luis Valenzuela 91 (754)
414. Thomas Spencer 92 (44)
415. Tim Guinness 92 (79)
416. James Harper 92 (141)
417. Jim Bastin 92 (154)
418. Vera Dean 92 (159)
419. Robert Duffy 92 (254)
420. Jacob Rumley 93 (4)
421. Johnny Reynolds 93 (54)
422. Tim Breslin 93 (129)
423. Peter Cummings 93 (130)
424. Peter Szabo 93 (454)
425. Angus Suttle 94 (4)
426. Naomi Cauvas 94 (192)
427. Rob de Laszlo 94 (254)
428. Ryan Abels 94 (386)
429. Aagam Shah 95 (229)
430. Polly Maguire 96 (14)
431. Oscar Moyes 96 (56)
432. georgia pienaar 96 (107)
433. Abdul Dumbaya 96 (240)
434. Arthur Jung 96 (258)
435. Edmund Dannenberg 97 (74)
436= Callum Blacow 98 (4)
436= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 98 (4)
438. Natalie Wood 98 (50)
439. Sarath Murugan 98 (354)
440. George Oakman 99 (42)
441. Tom Marsland 99 (105)
442. Samuel Portas 100 (46)
443. Will J Burton 100 (954)
444. Gaurang Rami 101 (44)
445. Karan Sanghavi 101 (154)
446. Bruno Mauney 101 (247)
447. Graham Ablett 102 (154)
448. Kevin Osei 103 (54)
449. Geo Sato Rain 103 (112)
450. = Kim Spreadbury 103 (129)
451. Stephan Michalski 103 (137)
452. Hugo Yap 103 (186)
453. Damon de Laszlo 104 (54)
454. Wesley Hui 104 (173)
455. Neil Arbore 104 (186)
456. Isabelle Barclay 105 (60)
457. Jeremy Tee 105 (504)
458. Bolu 107 (4)
459. Tibor Heskett 107 (254)
460. Sam Horgan 108 (33)
461. Hugh Hawkins 108 (54)
462. James 110 (1154)
463. Colin Taylor 112 (124)
464. Joshua Parrisshind 113 (106)
465. Aidan McCallm 113 (213)
466. Jamie Robinson 114 (186)
467. Wu Que (Titus) 115 (38)
468. Dunmola 116 (4)
469. Sam Juthani 116 (246)
470. = borgia Su 117 (54)
471. Patrick Voss 118 (214)
472. Michael Arnott 119 (37)
473. Ken Liebold 119 (69)
474. William de Laszlo 119 (296)
475. jonas crosland 119 (696)
476. Thomas Brandford 120 (4)
477. Rory Cook 120 (44874)
478. Frank Brierley 122 (404)
479. Leo Taylor 123 (45)
480. Denise Rayner 127 (236)
481. Freddy Main 132 (454)
482. = Yongze (Andy) Du 141 (131)
483. Jake Cushion 149 (1664)
484. Joshua Bailey 151 (1343)
485. Maximilian Haddon 154 (31)
486. Alfie Cooper 154 (94296)
487. Karnan Sembian 157 (40)
488. Gregor Welton 162 (415)
489. Joseph Wales 165 (744)
490. Peter Sainsbury 173 (71)
491. William Tremelling 177 (111)
492. = Toby Pinto 186 (78)
493. Gerald ringe 194 (552)
494. Leo Solloway 201 (1344)
495. Gillean Brook 216 (399)
496. Edward Alger 219 (1420)
497. = Karan Garg 220 (129)
498. nicholas finney 224 (1)
499. Anna Tighe 224 (119)
500. William Moriarty 229 (1854)
501. Benjamin Lawrence 232 (136)
502. = Rebecca Driscoll 245 (31)
503. Owen kean 260 (32)
504. Minming (Angela) Lai 269 (1346)
505. abe armstrong 282 (154)
506. William Pierson 301 (54)
507. William Sutcliffe 320 (40)
508. Jason Nordsell 321 (166)
509. Kevin Cahill 322 (954)
510. Leon Hooker 323 (986)
511. = Tom Elliott 326 (246)
512. = Emily Haroldson 361 (9)
513. = Erica Burke 362 (66)
514. = Fred Milano 363 (586)
515. = Paul Herbert 400 (149)
516. = Wang Chenxia (Celia) 458 (345)
517. = Callum Sheridan 533 (86)
518. = Jack Cazier 619 (33654)
519. = Robin Steed 686 (54)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).